Monday, June 1, 2009

Football Betting Guide

Are you looking for a football betting guide so that you can understand the procedure of betting in better way and can start your own bet on the soccer game? You need not worry as you will easily get a good guide at Internet, where some secrets of betting will be revealed to you so that you can also make some income or profit for yourself and can buy a latest LCD TV or can buy a car.

Lots of people are even getting regular money and paying their mortgage from the profit earned on football betting. Football betting guide has made many people rich and these people are continuously getting richer day by day.

Many people are earning profits regularly from the football betting guide and you can also be one of them and can make a residual income for years to come. You will need to know, which guide is authentic and which covers some inside loopholes of the betting system so that it becomes easy for people to make money from these guides. Football betting guide designed and written by some ex employee or ex bookmakers can be really a great source of information and it can really help you in many ways.

A football betting guide not only reveals the inside betting loopholes but it also advises you to plan your bet in such a way so that you succeed once and continue success for years. You need to follow the instruction carefully so that you benefit from the tips given to you through the football betting guide.

Football betting guide can be very beneficial for you especially if have no football or betting knowledge and once you go through the tips, you can start betting but ensure that you start your bet from a low amount and increase your bet at a steady pace.http://tinyurl.com/q7tfor

The Don'ts of Football Betting

It is common that gamblers vary or increase their bets. Some do it after having lost their earlier bets, some do it after winning. If you are one of those in this category of gamblers, then the odds of you being successful are slim. In the long run, you will run out of capital to carry on.

Based on my successful method, you will win 70% of the time. And if you are successful 70% of the time, then you will have a winning percentage of 40% net

70% success - 30% failure = 40% net win.

I am sure any gambler would be happy with this result. And in order to achieve this, there are some practices that you will have to follow. They are the don'ts of football betting.

1. Do not vary your bets on your investment. Always bet the same amount on your games every week and stick to that amount, win or lose.

2. Do not expect to win every bet you placed. You might be surprised to know that the best professionals in the business rarely achieve 60%. The key is to recognize that you should not come in and to break the bank right away. You need to have a disciplined approach over a long period of time to succeed otherwise you are setting yourself up for disappointment.

3. Do not delay in placing your bets. As a rule of thumb, it is best to place your bet early in the week to get better odds, though it may not work for some games.

4. Do not bet on all games in a weekend. Always stick to the top teams of the league.

If you follow the above, I am sure success will come your way. Be patient, as this success is not instant, it is spread out over the football season.http://tinyurl.com/q7tfor

Saturday, May 30, 2009

Gamble for Profit Not for Recreation

Gambling and earning tax free income (in the UK at least), is one of the most satisfying ways to make money. To win at sports betting for example means you have correctly picked the outcome of your event. To win at Blackjack or Poker means you have used a skill to be victorious and to win at a roulette wheel or craps table means you either have a great strategy or just got lucky.

Whichever one of the above applies to you the feeling of collecting that money from a gambling victory is as good as any. Why then do gamblers set about to not repeat this more often? Why do gamblers chase losing streaks? Why do gamblers persist in giving back winnings.

Very few gamblers have the personality traits to win consistently. They may have the qualities inside to be a winning gambler, but once that big win comes they think they are invincible and give it all back. A casino loves people who win. A casino executive in Las Vegas told me he likes newcomers to arrive and "get lucky early" They will get this feeling of invincibility and give us everything back and more. That scenario plays itself out amongst hundreds of people daily and the next billion dollar casino is born.

On the flip side, a losing gambler will chase losses. Whether it is horse racing, football, poker roulette, a losing gambler will increase bet frequency, stake more and use even less judgement when placing his transactions. This inevitably results in more losses.

The following rules, if adhered to can make you a winning gambler. I treat gambling as a job and like any job a bit of coaching and training can go a long way.

Gamble with money that you can afford to lose.

Start with a designated bankroll which is not linked to any other money.

Gamble on what you know, if you don't know learn.

Look to increase your bank 3% every day. Every 24 days you have doubled your money. This is very attainable. My main focus is football betting, by increasing my bankroll 3% every day £100 becomes £1600 in 96 days, in another 96 days that becomes £24,000. £24,000 for 6 months tax free.

Gamble for profit, not recreation. Every time you place a gambling transaction, think why you are doing it, what are you trying to win what is the risk?

If your luck is out that day, walk away, there are plenty more opportunities ahead.

The above rules have enabled me to make lots of money gambling, if you apply these methods then you too can win a healthy tax free income and stop donating to others profits.



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How To Make Big Money With Sports Betting

Have you ever wondered how the sports betting "smart money" became the smart money? Do you wonder what the football betting smart money does differently than the amateurs?

To get an idea how a professional sports handicapper analyzes a game, let's take a look at the analysis I did for my clients for the Fresno St. vs. Boise St. game:

Fresno St. at Boise St. -23

The line on this game is "only" 23 because of Fresno St. past reputation as a half-decent team. This Fresno St. team is terrible, going 1-6 SU so far this season. More importantly, Boise St. is playing at home, and Boise St. is ranked 14th in the nation for good reason. They are unstoppable on offense, especially playing at home.

Here's a scary stat for you to think about...

Boise St. is averaging 40 points per game this season, and Fresno St.'s defense is giving up on average a total of 32 points per game. In their last two games, Fresno St. has given up an average of 56 points per game.

Meanwhile, Boise St. has only scored under 36 points once all season. Boise St. has scored over 40 points in 6 games. Boise St. has averaged 46 points per game in their last three home games, and has average beating the spread by a full 7 points in their last three home games, even though they were favored by an average of 20 points per game. At the same time, Fresno St. has averaged about 13 points per game in their last three road games, scoring only 6, 12, and 20 points.

What this adds up to is a game in which you can expect Boise St. to score at least in the mid-40's, and Fresno St. to score 20 points if they have a great game. In other words, if Boise St. just plays their average game, and Fresno St. plays a great game, the final score should fall near the line of 23. Here's another way to look at it. Sometimes viewing games as a grid of possible outcomes, it becomes easier to see the high percentage play.

Here's a table of possible results showing likely scores depending on whether or not each team has a "good" or "bad" game:

Boise St. Fresno St. Possible Final Score

Average Game Average Game 46-14

Bad game Bad game 36-10

Good game Good game 55-26

Bad game Good game 36-26

Good game Bad game 55-10

As you can see, there is only one scenario where Fresno St. has a chance to cover. That's if they have a good game, and Boise St. has a bad game. All other scenarios point to Boise St. covering the 23 points. I.e., if Boise St. has a good game, Fresno St. has no chance to cover. Likewise, if Fresno St. has a bad game, they have no chance to cover.

Of course the models we use to determine the "possible" scores are proprietary statistical models that use weighted factors. It's the same type of analysis used by financial traders to calculate probabilities. Keep in mind, we're only playing probabilities, and even when the odds are in your favor, you can still lose. That's why it's important to manage risk by staying disciplined with your bet size.

Bottom line, Boise St. is likely to run up the score tonight and win going away, 52-17.

The actual final score was Boise St. 45, Fresno St. 21. Boise St. covered the spread by 1 point. However, what you don't realize by just seeing the score is that Fresno St. was only able to make it close by returning an interception for a touchdown.

In other words, the game analysis was exactly right. Fresno St. had a "good" game and still couldn't cover the 23 point spread. By repeating this type of analysis over and over, somebody serious about sports betting can make big money!


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Football Betting Odds

There is one major misconception about football betting odds—that they closely predict the outcome of the game. Football betting odds are actually designed to bring in the largest number of bets. So one person will see the spread on a game and what to go with the favorite and another will bet the spread of the loss. While football betting odds will give a sense of which team is more likely to win the game, the line won’t necessarily predict the final score.

It is up to the bettor to do some additional research. How did the team fare last weekend? Does the team have a strong defense, a weak defense? Does this week’s opposing team have a good offensive line? There’s only so much football betting odds can tell you. You can get a pretty good sense of the odds based on a team’s overall record, but there may be other factors—such as recent injuries—that will affect the odds.

If you’re just starting out with football betting, the football betting odds are a good general guideline. A Money Line Wager is a good beginner’s bet—betting which team is going to win. Depending on the amount of your bet, these bets can have a good payout. As you become more accustomed to football betting, the process can be more complicated. For example, a Parlay bet will factor in the spread for a number of games—perhaps five or more. In this case, the football betting odds are instrumental in making a large Parlay betting pick.

A Parlay bet can potentially have the biggest payout for the lowest amount of risk. Look at it this way: if you bet $200 on a Money Line Wager and lose, then game over. With a Parlay bet, you have two or more chances to win. If you are correct two, five, or ten times at once, you can potentially win tens of thousands of dollars. Parlay bettors live by the betting lines set by odds makers, as these will determine which games of the week have the lowest risk.


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Friday, May 29, 2009

How To Profit From Football Betting

Many people bet on different kinds of sports to make it more exciting – and football is not an exception. Betting on a football game is a common thing for friends and families. It adds to the thrill of watching the game. It makes you cheer for the team you placed your bets on. But how do you know who to bet your money on?

Unlike other forms of betting or gambling (as the case may suggest), football betting is not a mere product of luck alone. It requires game analysis, players and team scrutiny and examination of the betting odds. There could even be a little computation for it. However, there is still no guarantee. Bet is still a bet – the exciting part is looking forward to winning and fear of losing.

To add to your game analysis method, here are some techniques and tips that you should use in deciding which football team or player to bet on:

  • Analyze the physical and mental state of the players. These will have effects in the overall performance of the player, as an individual, and the whole team as a group. Some players will still play even when injured. This means they won’t be able to play well, and of course, there could be a higher chance of losing.
  • Analyze the strength and weakness of each team. Some team may be good in passing while others may be expert in running. These are important to help you come up with a betting decision.
  • Believe it or not, the location of the game also affects the actual performance of each team. If the game is played on real grass, the advantage is on the team whose home stadium is a real grass. This could affect other teams playing on an Astroturf home stadium.

The tips and techniques in football betting are endless. But at least these are some of the most basic. Before you set your bet, make sure you are betting on a team that has a higher chance of winning. Don’t waste your money by betting without analyzing the game, teams and players.http://tinyurl.com/q7tfor

Tips for Football Betting

How depressingly gray would be a world where everything is governed by a set of universal rules rigorously shaping everything? Isn’t it better if we strike back with a chance to confound the tweed coated straight laced brigade and weave a little exotic odds into life that are not really approved of. It is precisely this change that inspires even the most sober of us to risk a couple of quid. But the art of a successful competition is to not only create a game that has a real chance of success for the entry stake, but allows us to lose that stake without significant damage to our ongoing lifestyle. Placing bets on football matches using various tips and tactics helps us achieve this motive.

In this article we shall thus discuss about the major tips and tactics that help us make the best of our money. Football betting is not like the other traditional casino games. Those games are games of chance where the house always has a built-in edge. Football betting is different in that you can choose which games to wager on and which games to pass on. By only betting on games that have a positive expected return and passing on games that have negative expected return, the football betting enthusiast can thus turn the tables on the sports book and put himself in the position to always have the edge.

Basic knowledge of sports handicapping is required

Football betting requires a basic knowledge of sports handicapping. You need to understand what goes into determining the spread and how to arrive at an educated guess at the game outcome. Football handicapping is part science and part art. The best football handicappers not only know how to analyze the statistics, they also have an instinct gained from years of experience. To acquire these skills and instincts the punter needs to do handicapping for him self using picks and recommendations from other bettors as simply a starting point.

Handicapping is all about acquiring and using the right information

Handicapping is all about acquiring and using the right information. You are attempting to predict the future. You do that by looking at what has happened in the past, which is where statistics are useful, and by looking at the current situation, which is where the latest news is critical.

However one should always remember that even the best handicappers are rarely right more than 58% of the time. Our goal should be to win more than 50% of the bets.
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